First of all, and despite "predictions" by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that this century we'd start to see the planet burn, instead, so far, we've seen ... this:
That is, no net global warming. Marlo Lewis explains the graph, courtesy of atmospheric scientist John Christy, here -- but note:
This graph, , shows how climate models and reality diverge. The red, purple, and orange lines are model forecasts of global temperatures under different emission scenarios. The yellow line shows how much warming we are supposedly “committed to” even if CO2 concentrations don’t change. The blue and green lines are actual temperatures as measured by ground-based (HadCrut) and satellite (UAH LT) monitoring systems.I'll let you work out what that means for the veracity of the warmists' models, and of their predictions. If the planet's gonna burn, as all the warmists say it will, it sure as heck is goin' the wrong way about it.
What’s really rather remarkable, is that since 2000, the rates at which CO2 emissions and concentrations are increasing have accelerated... And yet, despite accelerating emission rates and concentrations, there's been no net warming in the 21st century.
Second of all, and despite further "predictions" by the United Nations IPCC that the likes of impoverished Bangladesh will lose 17 percent of its land by 2050 because of rising sea levels due to global warming, leaving 20 million Bangladeshis to become "environmental refugees" -- and NASA's scaremonger-in-chief James Hansen to "predict" that the entire country will be under water by the end of the century -- the Banagladeshi landmass just resolutely refuses to play ball.
After studying 32 years of satellite images, scientists from the Dhaka-based Center for Environment and Geographic Information Services say Bangladesh's landmass has been increasing by 20 square kilometres annually. That's an extra 2000 square kilometres or so of land on which "environmental refugees" can continue to make themselves at home. [Story here.]
Warmists might point out that Bangladesh's annual increase in land is due to the enormous amounts of sediment travelling down the big Himalayan rivers and deposited at the Bangladeshi delta, and so is nothing to do with the "predicted" sea level rises the warmists are looking forward to -- and while IPCC-loving warmists are still looking forward to a predicted fifteen inches or so by 2100, uber-warmists like the Goracle and his followers are eager for the twenty-foot deluge that will soak most of the world's major cities unless (they say) we stop our carbon belching ways.
But despite the predictions, reality once again just refuses to comply with this disaster scenario either. As Bjorn Lomborg points out, "over the past two years, the global sea level hasn’t increased. It has slightly decreased . Since 1992, satellites orbiting the planet have measured the global sea level every 10 days with an amazing degree of accuracy – 3-4 millimeters (0.2 inches). For two years, sea levels have declined. Proclaiming six meters of sea-level rise ... requires the sea-level rise to accelerate roughly 40-fold from today."
But there's nothing at all to suggest it will. If the planet's gonna drown, as all the warmists say it must, it sure as heck is goin' the wrong way about it.
Meanwhile, up at the top of the world, if you're wondering why you haven't been hearing "The Arctic Ice is Disappearing" stories this northern summer, it's because the Arctic Ice isn't going anywhere -- except of course to melt slightly over the northern summer, just as it has every summer since time began. In fact, NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center data shows ice for this northern summer "nearly identical to 2002, 2005 and 2006... ice has grown in nearly every direction since last summer - with a large increase in the area north of Siberia. Also note that the area around the Northwest Passage (west of Greenland) has seen a significant increase in ice. Some of the islands in the Canadian Archipelago are surrounded by more ice than they were during the summer of 1980."
Yes, Virginia, the polar bears are safe.
Naturally, the onset of reailty leaves politicians all the more resolute in pushing ahead with their emissions trading scams -- hell, they think, there's control and tax revenue to be made out of this -- and it leaves warmists all the more shrill. Take the new Australian "warmer-drama" Scorched in which Sydney will be made to burn -- on celluloid, if not in reality. Or the recent report on "climate change" produced by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, which has been described as "a gross perversion of science based on faulty methodology and dodgy inferences... with a complete disregard to opposing views that are held and published by other credible, qualified and knowledgeable persons." Or the litany of Goremongering that the Occar-winning Man Who Would be President trots out whenever there's a microphone about. Or the banishing of dissent that a warmist mainstream media is increasingly adopting. Or the head of the UN's IPCC likening a critic of the IPCC to Hitler "because the man had publicly reflected on whether it would make more sense to compensate and relocate the residents of Pacific island nations threatened by rising sea levels (sic) instead of attempting to keep sea levels somewhat constant."
Director of The Great Global Warming Swindle film Martin Durkin knows all about the shrillness of warmists. One year since it aired on Britain's Channel 4, Durkin sums up the reaction: a chilling attack on free speech. "To greens," he says, "I was worse than a child abuser." But as the The Sydney Morning Herald observed in the wake of the Australian screening of the film, "There is something odd about the ferocious amount of energy expended suppressing any dissent from orthodoxy on climate change. If their case is so good, why try so fervently to extinguish other points of view?"
Perhaps because it's clear enough now even to the zealots that their case is unproved, it's uncertain and it's crumbling.
How long do you think before the politicians are made to wake up?
[Hat tip Climate Debate Daily]
UPDATE: While you're feeling cold and poor, Kevin Rudd and Helen Clark are discussing how they'd like to introduce a cross-Tasman emissions tradings scam to keep you that way.
But as we've noted, the world is already cooling. Has been for years, globally -- and check out some Anecdotal cold weather news from around the world.
And just check out Sixty Minutes' dissection (via Andrew Bolt) of just how much Kevni '08 really knows about the whole warmism charade. Not much, it turns out.